Bitcoin struggles to exceed 2017 bull market peak as traders await Fed rate decision

Bitcoin struggles to exceed 2017 bull market peak as traders await Fed rate decision


Seeking Alpha
2022-09-20 16:21:10

Major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC-USD) and ethereum (ETH-USD) fared better than the broader stock market in early Tuesday afternoon trading as market participants brace for another likely aggressive interest-rate increase by the Federal Reserve's policymaking arm.Bitcoin (BTC-USD), which has been viewed as a gauge for risk tolerance and sentiment, inched down 0.4% to $19.12K at 12:21 p.m. ET. That's around 500 points below the bull market top in December 2017. Ether (ETH-USD), meanwhile, advanced 1.2% to $1.36K. Overall, the global crypto market cap increased 0.3% to $931.6B over the past 24 hours, according to CoinMarketCap data. By comparison, equities turned lower, with both the Dow Jones and S&P 500 down 0.8% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq -0.3% as risk-off appetite deepens. SA contributor Clem Chambers showed two charts that signal bitcoin "is in trouble," adding that the odds of the token seeing $15K in 2022 is high. As the federal Open Market Committee kicks off its two-day monetary policy meeting Tuesday, traders are pricing in an 82% chance that the fed funds rate will be lifted by 75 basis points to 3.00%-3.25%, compared with an 18% probability of a more aggressive, 100-bp rate hike in the wake of August's hotter-than-expected inflation print, according to CME's FedWatch tool. In turn, the two-year Treasury note yield (US2Y), which closely tracks Fed policy, is closing in on 4% for the first time since 2007,...